Structured Predictions generates a Predictive Cumulative Flow Diagram and provides specific metrics for each team.
The following sections explain each element of the Structured Predictions gadget.
This section of the graph shows the historical CFD of past workflow transitions and ticket inventory to the current day. The points on the graph show the date at which issues were in a specific workflow state:
By plotting all of the issue transitions for the project, the graph shows a historical representation of what the project looked like at a given date in history. By assessing the slope of each workflow state, the rate at which work is being created and completed for a project can be easily seen.
The steep cliff in the "todo" area of the graph at the line labeled "Today" is the result of the Structured Predictions algorithm making a predictions as to the number of additional stories each team contributing to the delivery will create at some future point in the project. The predicted stories are added to the known project scope (the scope that is defined in Jira) at the current date.
Each team's completion date is predicted by running the team's performance model (based on the training structure assigned in the configuration) against the remaining scope defined in Jira and the additional scope predicted by the algorithm for that team. Hovering over the team label pin shows some metrics for each team.
The Today line, quite simply, is drawn at the current date. It represents the transition point of the graph from a traditional historical cumulative flow diagram to a predictive cumulative flow diagram. The portion of the graph to the right of the Today line is drawn from the simulated future for each team working on the delivery.
The Target date is provided to the gadget as part of the configuration. Teams that are predicted to finish after the target date are flagged in red in the metrics table to the right of the graph.
The team metrics breaks down the key stats by team. There are six columns of data for each team.
The Structured Predictions graph is a great way to start a conversation with the teams on a project about what dates they think they can hit, given the particulars of the project and the circumstances within the organization:
Taking a screen shot of Structured Predictions is a quick way to get completion trends into a status report. A weekly report with a screen shot will reveal trends to stakeholders as well as validate the impact of decisions that were made and expected to impact project performance.
Structured Predictions is what we refer to as a Dark Feature. It ships with Structure as part of your normal Structure license, but you need to enter a special code to enable it. To receive the code, please contact our Solutions Team at solutions@almworks.com. |